Nvidia results: the real test for the AI investment boom

Commenting on Nvidia’s Q2 results, Amelia MacPherson, Media and Technology senior analyst at RSM UK, said: “Nvidia’s evolution beyond chip supplier to an AI infrastructure provider means its growth provides an indication of the extent to which businesses are continuing to invest in the infrastructure underpinning AI.

“Spending by AI-focused businesses such as Meta, OpenAI and Anthropic has grown significantly over the last year. However, it’s the continued acceleration in demand from the hyperscalers, including Microsoft, Google and Amazon, that is the real story, increasing by 29% from Q1. This suggests a step up in cloud capex commitments from these tech giants following the release of its new product – the Blackwell Ultra Platform.

"With Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft and Oracle projected to spend approximately $800bn combined on capex in 2026, and technology companies expected to invest around $7tn in data centres by 2030, it’s clear that this spending is not expected to slow anytime soon. However, Nvidia's results don't necessarily answer the more important question: is all of this investment generating sufficient returns for the companies making it?

"That is the defining question for the AI boom. The scale of spending is clear, but investors will increasingly want to see evidence that the productivity gains, revenues and efficiencies generated by AI can justify the enormous capital being deployed today.”

authors:amelia-macpherson