The Real Economy

Our economic commentary offers bespoke insights into the UK’s real economy, providing analysis and forecasts to help you navigate the current economic landscape.

Our latest Real Economy reports

The UK economy is staring down the largest rise in interest rates in a generation and a record breaking fall in real incomes. And yet, both the UK economy and the middle market are showing remarkable resilience in the face of these considerable challenges.

Our latest data illuminates how the middle market have prepared for the economic turmoil and what they expect from the rest of the year.  


Our weekly economic updates

In Weekly UK Economic Voice, our economists analyse the latest UK economic issues top of middle-market business leaders’ agendas. We draw out both the big picture and the small but critical details specifically for business leaders in the middle market looking for the inside track.

Our monthly real economy indicator updates

The RSM UK Real Economy Economic Indicators assess the UK’s business climate from a middle-market perspective, offering business leaders at-a-glance and actionable insights from official economic data.

The RSM UK Real Economy economic indicators reflect uncertainty. While the real economy grew, credit conditions and new business lending are tightening in the face of tariffs. 

Our quarterly outlook on the UK real economy

The UK Quarterly Economic Outlook series completes our comprehensive evaluation of the UK’s real economy. It offers you another compelling evidence-based narrative to help inform your planning and key decision-making.
 UK quarterly economic outlook
The Real Economy

UK Quarterly Economic Outlook - Q1 2025

Following a period of stagnation, the UK economy is on track for sharp growth in 2025.